Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.424434 14.482241 16.721411 19.332014 22.284848 25.513859 29.304502
2025-11-02 8.711528 11.460579 14.761505 18.983084 24.201151 30.399671 38.276063
2025-11-09 6.520137 9.469231 13.301952 18.571376 25.539683 34.341814 46.188303
2025-11-16 5.051533 7.999348 12.100916 18.094627 26.475051 37.600623 53.274804
2025-11-23 3.924340 6.736403 10.902535 17.334954 26.783854 39.883234 59.077477
2025-11-30 3.418714 6.282478 10.753493 17.975592 29.016205 44.859903 68.804759
2025-12-07 3.013641 5.901999 10.635028 18.601134 31.223144 49.899746 78.903907
2025-12-14 2.497279 5.230738 9.942219 18.214872 31.808570 52.552215 85.650832
2025-12-21 2.061371 4.615803 9.242872 17.707147 32.108283 54.733668 91.762996
2025-12-28 1.894122 4.476734 9.344656 18.542810 34.624339 60.466495 103.594108
2026-01-04 1.715344 4.280040 9.309165 19.119543 36.732033 65.658130 114.845183
2026-01-11 1.501008 3.967051 9.007949 19.172350 37.924980 69.416850 123.994116
2026-01-18 1.295779 3.651613 8.693248 19.232840 39.258487 73.698842 134.603795
2026-01-25 1.086035 3.282977 8.223449 18.956965 39.994151 77.086466 144.071061
2026-02-01 0.901779 2.930077 7.726870 18.558322 40.450878 80.007251 152.917513
2026-02-08 0.744217 2.603356 7.229283 18.084063 40.698551 82.546354 161.223870
2026-02-15 0.597927 2.264097 6.639037 17.325151 40.295596 83.853189 167.411282
2026-02-22 0.546687 2.192258 6.682520 17.965549 42.755470 90.566970 183.568895
2026-03-01 0.500101 2.122439 6.719052 18.590804 45.228416 97.442344 200.358665
2026-03-08 0.417920 1.909327 6.344204 18.204729 45.531110 100.191246 209.715144
2026-03-15 0.344707 1.701465 5.942811 17.697248 45.514425 102.299750 217.965239
2026-03-22 0.324273 1.684314 6.076679 18.532511 48.518764 110.528426 238.153682
2026-03-29 0.297742 1.634933 6.108100 19.108970 50.982830 117.804114 256.846785